Kobalt 500 @ Atlanta

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Joined
Sep 3, 2005
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CUP YTD

10-08 +9.80 units (Match-Ups)
05-06 -0.55 units (Props)
00-12 -4.71 units (Outrights)

Total: +4.54 units


Running short on time...played these for today (a little chalky):

Match-Ups

2.00 units Jeff Burton (-140) over Kevin Harvick (@sportsbook.com)
Really like the look of these guys today(the 31 team)...have been a lot more impressive than their teammate this weekend. Steep price but really feel good about this one.

1.50 units Clint Bowyer (-110) over Denny Hamlin (@5dimes)
The other RCR car looks pretty stout as well. Both Bowyer and Burton could be Top 5. Hamlin has struggled to find the combination so far this year.

1.50 units Jeff Gordon (-105) over Kyle Busch @5dimes)
Gordon looks determined after a bad first two starts and this has been an excellent track for him. Busch is much like his teammate Hamlin, hasn't put it together yet but could and should get his first Top 10 today, but I like the 24 better.

1.50 units David Reutimann (+125) over Joey Logano (@thegreek)
Top 5 last time here for Reutimann and has been good in the first three races in 2010. Logano has had an equally impressive start to the season but this is a place he struggled with last year and he even commented after the race last week about not looking forward to coming here (although I think he will be OK today). Reutimann is Top 10 potential or better.

1.00 unit Sam Hornish (-120) over Scott Speed (@thegreek)
If this was anyone else in this car besides Hornish this would be a top play. Much better car today than that of Speed but can't trust Sam to finish the deal.

1.00 unit David Gilliland (-115) over Robby Gordon (@thegreek)
Ugly play of the day. Gordon has never had the greatest equipment and since this team is down on funding this year they look even weaker plus the fact that Robby is a lot like Hornish, you never know when he will have to be peeled off the wall.
Gilliland has been surprisingly decent driving for Front Row Motorsports (at least capable of Top 20-25)

Props

1.50 unit Jeff Burton (+105) under 7.5 (@sportsbook.com)
1.00 unit Kevin Harvick (+105) over 10.5 (@sportsbook.com)
1.00 unit Kasey Kahne (+300) to win group (@sportsbook.com)
over Edwards/Biffle/Kurt/Stewart

Outrights

0.75 unit Kasey Kahne (+800) @thegreek
0.66 unit Jeff Gordon (+950) @thegreek
0.33 unit Jeff Burton (+1800) @thegreek
0.25 unit Clint Bowyer (+2200) @thegreek

Good Luck to everyone!
 

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